Up to 190,000 could die in Africa if virus containment fails: WHO



Up to 190,000 people in Africa could die of coronavirus within the first year of the pandemic if containment measures fail, the planet Health Organization warned on Thursday.

The UN health agency cited a replacement study by its regional office in Brazzaville which found that between 83,000 and 190,000 could die and 29 to 44 million be infected during the amount.

The research is predicated on prediction modeling and covers 47 countries with a complete population of 1 billion, the WHO said during a statement.

Experts have consistently warned that Africa is especially susceptible to an epidemic, thanks to weak health infrastructure, high rates of poverty, numerous roiling conflicts and a proven susceptibility to previous epidemics.

But the virus has been slow to spread across the continent, which has yet not recorded the soaring number of infections or deaths seen in Europe, the us et al. .

"The model predicts the observed slower rate of transmission, lower age of individuals with severe disease and lower mortality rates compared to what's seen within the most affected countries within the remainder of the planet," the statement said.

"The lower rate of transmission, however, suggests a more prolonged outbreak over a couple of years."

WHO Africa Director Matshidiso Moeti said that "while COVID-19 likely won't spread as exponentially in Africa because it has elsewhere within the world, it likely will smoulder in transmission hotspots".

"COVID-19 could become a fixture in our lives for subsequent several years unless a proactive approach is taken by many governments within the region," he added. "We got to test, trace, isolate and treat."

Smaller countries also as Algeria, South Africa and Cameroon were at particularly high risk unless effective containment measures were effective, the WHO said.

Africa has thus far recorded 53,334 cases and a couple of, 065 fatalities - out of a worldwide price of nearly 267,000 - consistent with an AFP tally.

Several countries have put confinement measures or lockdowns in situ, but others haven't and a few are considering lifting restrictions.

Nigeria lifted the lockdown in Africa's most populous city Lagos earlier in the week, while South Africa began to ease its measures last week.


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